![]() ![]() However, this study only focused on the spatial distribution of wildfires with different causes, and did not analyze other factors affecting the spatial distribution of wildfires in detail. Therefore, the relative importance of relevant variables in influencing wildfire occurrence varies over time. However, in recent decades, most man-made ignition sources other than power lines have become less frequent, and the positive correlation between wildfire frequency and population distribution has been less pronounced in recent years than it was in the last century. Prior to 1980, the main cause of wildfires in most parts of California was human activity. Keeley and Syphard’s analysis 8 of the spatial distribution of wildfires over the past 100 years in California found that the frequency of wildfires declined greatly after 1980, but there has been no corresponding significant change in the total annual burned area. Nevertheless, the study was limited to Southern California and focused only on the spatial distribution of wildfires. The results indicated that the distance from wildfire ignition points to houses and highways, and the terrain slope were the leading factors that explain ignition frequency. ![]() 7 used the logistic and Poisson regression models to analyze fires in Southern California National Forests from 1980 to 2009. To this end, the dominant causes and drivers of California wildfires in different periods and regions have already been analyzed by several researchers. ![]() The formulation of effective policies entails a full understanding of the spatial and temporal distribution of different types of wildfires (natural and human-caused), the differences in their impact on human communities, and their various influential factors. The development and implementation of proactive fire prevention policies can effectively reduce the probability of wildfire ignition, the risk of extreme fires, and the social and economic losses caused by wildfires. According to the data from the wildfire Redbooks published by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection (CAL FIRE), despite significant administrative investments in wildfire suppression and management in recent years, the property loss caused by wildfires has not been significantly reduced in California 6. At the same time, the expansion of the wildland-urban interface (WUI) areas caused by rapid social development and sustained population growth has greatly increased the number of residents and buildings affected by wildfires, which has further aggravated the damage imparted to the human society from wildfires 4, 5. Especially in the past two decades, changes in climate and land utilization caused by human activities have not only extended the wildfire season, but also significantly increased the severity and burned areas of wildland fires 3. This study reveals the relationship between environmental and social background conditions and the spatial-temporal distribution of wildfires, which can provide a reference for wildfire management, the formulation of future targeted wildfire emergency plans, and the planning of future land use in California.Īs one of the most frequent natural disasters in California, wildfires have caused great damage to the environment, economy and society in recent years 1, 2. In terms of the variables related to the risk of wildfire occurrence, the temperature, vapor pressure deficit, grass cover, and the distance to roads are crucial. The wildfire season has lengthened and the peak months have been advanced from August to July. Over the past two decades, the frequency of small (< 500 acres), human-caused wildfires has increased most rapidly, and they are widely distributed in central and western California. The results show that the wildfire density distribution of the burned area in California conforms to the characteristics of the Pareto distribution. Furthermore, to extract the significant variables on the risk of wildfire occurrence, multivariate analyses of environmental and human-related variables with wildfire densities were carried out. The trend of wildfires in different time scales (yearly and monthly), as well as the distribution of wildfires across different spatial scales (administrative units, climate divisions in California from 2000 to 2019) were also studied. In this study, we first investigated the temporal distributions of past wildfires in California divided by size and causes and analyzed the changes observed in the past two decades against the last century. ![]() To minimize the interference of wildfires on economic and social development, and formulate targeted mitigation strategies, it is imperative to understand the scale and extent of previous wildfire occurrences. The environmental pollution, property losses and casualties caused by wildfires in California are getting worse by the year. ![]()
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